OPINION: Digit preference during Covid-19 yet to play out

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By Opinion Aug 21, In the study of data on human populations, especially in less literate stings, digit preference for age or year of birth is driven by several factors. Dramatic events in life affect procreation and progression of cohorts of populations. Pestilence, famines and wars play a major role in driving cohorts. At the end of war, there was peace and normal procreation and in fact over compensation tended to happen.

It is not clear whether the in coronavirus situation is not likely to lead to overcompensation of procreation, particularly the lockdown. It is to be seen how marital fertility versus non-married couples fertility outcomes will play out in the subsequent nine months from now. The lockdown levels five and four limited the freedoms of association and cohabitation habits outside nuptial arrangements. Coronavirus is a significant event, and if South Africa was as illiterate as it was in s, births occurring now would have the date of birth as a bio-marker called born during coronavirus like born during the war of Kaizer or Hitler, or born at the time of Randepest.

This is how dating of births associated with major events and when a census of the population is undertaken, the age is of people is telescoped to that major event with the effect that cohort progression shows major artificial humps. Yet this might not be the only driver of age heaping, another and most common in latter years was driven by digit preference, in particular, numbers ending with a zero, two or five.

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